2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and pick

The 2012 Euro Cup is right down to a final four teams, so when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon are going to playing to face the winner from the Spain vs. Portugal game that can take place later today.
Recent history between these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't care about yesteryear, they're devoted to the sport at hand.
The German squad haven't beaten Italy in the competitive match.
"We can't turnaround for the time, overlook about it, days gone by doesn't be the cause in your planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is that Germany has not won against Italy inside a major check here tournament, but what exactly?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it is time for Germany to win as they're the favorite at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will likely be a hardcore, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong way with this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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